Charles Town picks and analysis: January 11, 2025 * The Racing Biz

Charles Town picks and analysis: January 11, 2025

Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:

RACE 1

4. Diva’s Demon	Switches into Farrior barn (31% first off the claim at CT) after galloping to graduate; in a race surprisingly light on speed, might be controlling pace presence
9. Christopher’sheart	First in the Frock barn off a couple of decent tries
2. Salty Starkey	Graduated nicely in latest but no match for top choice two back

RACE 2

5. Sparkleinyoureye	Second start off the bench for this Jones trainee; last couple are awful, but this mare isn’t that far removed from races that would win here, and might be an attractive price; trainer-jock combo has a positve ROI
4. Dream Leader	First start since October for lightly raced Grams (19% off similar layoffs) trainee
2. Pipe Dreamin	Need to forgive messy last outing, but there are reasons to do so: sloppy going, tough company may have been too much for her; can improve back in more congenial company

RACE 3

10. Our Lady in Red	Sneaky good try in latest when hopping at the break, rushing up to the lead before tiring in late stages; clean break could put her in the winner’s circle
9. Thundar Cloud	Never worse than third in six tries but just a middling try in latest as 4-5 choice; not quite enthralled enough to take likely short odds on top
7. Heavenly Lady	Jockey Lewis jumps off top choice for this miss; trainer Brown with a positive ROI when horses in maiden claiming company switch into his barn

RACE 4

7. Gran Andrews	4-for-5 at the trip and 10-for-12 at CT, this veteran has won nine straight over the strip, all at this level; reunited with top pilot Bocachica
5. Mark Did It	Formful sort arrives off an allowance win and was a solid second to top choice three back
3. Gabriel’s Wing	Finished behind top choices four back and drops back into starter company after three middling allowance outings; Figgins barn looking for a bounceback year after uncharacteristic struggles in ’24

RACE 5

2. Rock of Ages	First-timer has win-early indicators: decent sire record with firsters (11%), solid work tab including a bullet 12/14 and solid gate move 1/3, and 2-of-4 sibs to race won on debut, while the other two finished in the money; trainer Contreras has a positive ROI with debut runners
4. Talented Lino	Uncle Lino gelding is out of an 11-time winner and half to two first-out winners from two to race; trainer Grams had both, and they won their first outings by a combined 20 lengths
9. T Rex Union	Has the experience edge and is moving in the right direction

RACE 6

9. Hey Boots	Willing effort last out when bumped and forced to take back leaving the chute and then widest of all around the turn; cleaner trip probably yields a win
7. Advance Cash	Will be running late in heat with plentiful speed; not that far removed from efforts that win with these
3. Ellie’s Boyfriend	Nice-looking score in latest when wearing down Ship the Goods late; speedster will be in the early pace mix

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RACE 7

1. Lil Miss Honkytonk	Nice-looking score last out after good try despite being fractious in gate on debut; runner-up from maiden score returned to be second a head versus special weight rivals
5. Medallion of Ash	Won nicely at first asking and owns right to improve
4. Crafty Candygram	Return to one-turn trip should aid the cause

RACE 8

1. Peggy’s Way	Speed of the speed draws the rail and arrives off sharp score versus two-in-life company
10. Shared Authority	Gets back to one-turn dash and more modest company; top pair from three-back effort entered that with seven and five wins
3. Whiskey Wild	Consistent sort usually runs decently; caught razor-sharp Blue Trillion in latest

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