Charles Town picks and analysis: May 31, 2024
The Biz
May 31, 2024
Picks and analysis for this evening’s card from Hollywood Casino at Charles Town Races:
- DATE: May 31, 2024
- RACES ON CARD: 8
- CARRYOVERS: Jackpot Pick 6, $17,241
RACE 1
| 6. Stellars in Charge | Likely the one they’ll have to run down |
| 7. White Series | Improved try in last at shortest distance to date |
| 5. Northern Cardinal | Connections hesitant to expose him to being claimed, now trying him in special weight company at third different track |
RACE 2
| 6. Caliente Rum | Just missed in last versus similar |
| 1. Take Charge Erica | Maybe the barn switch will give this 8yo mare a boost |
| 2. Cowgirl Attitude | Drops to lowest level yet after struggling versus better; one of seven to run back from latest won follow-up |
RACE 3
| 5. Change Your Luck | Likely speed of the speed won last time entered for a nickel and should appreciate return to lesser company; Peltroche barn with a strong start to the year |
| 11. Hot Fudge Sonde | Warrants a look if drawing in off the AE; disappointed last couple but three back effort versus better wins here |
| 3. Hialeah Native | Hung out wide in last but barely missed two prior tries |
RACE 4
| 6. Never Grew Up | Exits productive heat that’s produced three next out winners; switches into ice-cold Carlisle barn that’s sure to heat up one of these days (22% off the trainer switch last five years) |
| 8. Common Prosperity | Won like a 3-10 should in last and finds good spot to tackle winners for the first time |
| 5. Simply Jack | Should appreciate straight never-won-two company after winners of last two outings had three and four wins each |
RACE 5
| 4. Nighttime Justice | Ran evenly versus better last out in a race that’s produced two next-out winners; won last time she faced nickel foes on dirt |
| 6. Rock Rose | Clearly the fastest here if she can find her old form, but drop to the bottom off a six-month break doesn’t instill confidence |
| 2. Complete Surprise | Drop to this level probably overdue; has back efforts that would win this |
RACE 6
| 3. Flat Discount | The Flat Out mare’s form is a bit in-and-out but better efforts put her in the mix; beaten a length two back in race that’s produced two next-out winners and won at this level in January |
| 7. Mrs. Del | Well-traveled mare will try to maintain form at third racetrack in as many starts; finished behind top choice in January, ahead of her in March |
| 1. Waterloo Rose | Her odds — 55-1 two back, 13-1 last out — suggest that this one’s chances of winning both were about 1/10th of one percent; how do you leave her out after that? |
RACE 7
| 8. Pork Chop Pete | Dead game in the Coin Collector when disposing of talented pace rival Marshall Peanut but unable to withstand late run of last year’s state-bred 2yo champ Jubawithatwist |
| 1. Indicator | Willing effort in the Coin Collector when outfooted early and hung out wide on the turn; flattened out a bit late |
| 3. Furreal | Half-bro to WV-bred millionaire Lucy’s Bob Boy dominated in flashy debut but has been away four months since; seems like that was a bit of a tepid group, while this is a tough spot to face winners first time |
RACE 8
| 3. Landon Jack | Sure likes to finish second (eight times in 22 starts versus just one win) and has done so in last two versus similar; might still be best of these |
| 12. Circle the Moon | Has faced better and could factor if drawing in off the AE |
| 6. Mims Hat Trick | Makes first start in 11 months and switches barns; best prior efforts fit here and came going 4 1/2 furlongs |
| 8. Tizafastbullet | Tired late after wide journey in first try versus winners; could face similar challenge here |
CHECK OUT THE LATEST OFF TO THE RACES RADIO!
LATEST NEWS
rick be
31st May 20241.”Stellars In Charge”looms large but McMahon could come on.
2.”Let’s Do This”;mix”Caliente Rum” with “Salty Saul”and play them all.
3.I”Siente El Amor”for”Hialeah Native”to”Change Your Luck”.
4.”Simply Jack”may not look back but if he does”Here Comes Rusty”.
rick be
31st May 20245.”Nighttime Justice”does entice but”Rock Rose”knows the way to the wire.
6.”Mrs Del”looks very well but ya gotta be”A Little Bit Crazy”to leave”Flat Discount”out.
7.”Pork Chop Pete”looks good enough to eat but”Furreal”may”Raise A Ruckus”
8.I’m not gonna back”Landon Jack”because”Tizafastbullet”might ricochet tonight.
rick be
31st May 20245.It’s not a “Complet Surprise that we had this Exacta.
6.Tonya fooled me but not Ted.
7.”Furreal”was,I warned the Chalk Players-$12.89 longest shot-I was hot.
8.BAM1 THE KID DOES IT AGAIN $34.60 TO BUILD UP THE KITTY and a $35 exacta COLD!
rick be
31st May 2024my pick didn’t stick?
rick be
31st May 2024You guys are cheating your readers,
get my picks out promptly and you’ll have a million readers.
rick be
31st May 2024Well we both had all four but Ted’s:Never Grew Up”
was the only sleeper that woke up.