Delaware Park picks and analysis: September 14, 2024

Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

  • DATE: September 14, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
  • RACES ON CARD: 11
  • CARRYOVERS: Middle Pick 5, $3,770 : Late Pick 5, $7,324
  • POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

5. Course (15-1)
Wasn’t competitive at Parx; should run better with the class drop from a state bred maiden in claimers
3. Ade (8-1)
Showed clear improvement last time, can be in the mix with another step forward
9. Kitty of War (10-1)
Questions with the others who have experience leaves this filly by Fog of War
1. Longa Go Go (10-1)
First timer worked a bullet three furlongs over this track just a week ago

RACE 2

5. Graft (3-1)
By Gun Runner, this four year old appears to be the winner if his form translates from turf to dirt
3. Aspiring Comedian (6-1)
Back to his preferred surface, and has done his best running over this dirt course with a try two back that compares well
8. Finger Roll (2-1)

First off the claim for Cathal Lynch, this first time gelding has run better than these but is too short a price at the morning line
2. Arrogant Rider (8-1)
Has fared well when dropping down into claiming company, so gets a bump here after a rough try last time

RACE 3 ON THE TURF

2. Most Unusual Day (12-1)
Consistently competitive since switching to turf in this class and due for a win with a similar performance at value
1. Camanoe (3-1)
Distance is no problem for this Jonathan Thomas trained filly by Catholic Boy who adds blinkers and drops to claiming
9. Tartan Green (5-1)
Should factor in purely based on her last race with some trip versatility
11. Queen Rocket (6-1)
Gets another crack at maiden claimers, but doesn’t appear to be a winner based on her recent form

DIRT PICKS: 9-8-6

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RACE 4

4. Freedom Road (5-1)
Tough to ignore a winner of five straight even as he stretches out in distance
2. Street Glide (8-1)
Gelding by Jess’s Dream may be a winner if he runs back to last race’s form where he won by five lengths going away
3. King of Hollywood (9-2)
Has a speed advantage; fared well against similar company at Monmouth and has two wins over this course
8. Mr Mac Quhae (6-1)
Three straight wins including two at Delaware, but may take a bit more money than the morning line suggests

RACE 5 ON THE TURF

2. Go Take Charge (5-1)
Gelding by Will Take Charge has hit the board in his last five, with his better efforts over this turf course
3. Uncle Truly (4-1)
More back class than this field; should be in the mix in this company
12. Midnight Award (5-1)
Tougher post means his best shot is with a late run but will need pace to aim at
10. Word for Word (15-1)
Very strong jockey trainer combo with five wins in seven tries together this meet has a chance at a top three finish

DIRT PICKS: 9-6-3

RACE 6

4. Vamos Carlitos (4-1)
The lone mount for Romero Maragh on this Jonathan Thomas colt by Catholic Boy who may prefer turf but works well
3. Bobby Rocky Jake (3-1)
Missed the start recently, and simply getting a better break should be enough to factor in here
5. Never Till Now (8-1)

Debuts for Lynn Ashby and appears to be in good form with frequent works including a four furlong breeze just four days ago
8. Let’s Have a Party (5-1)
Hasn’t been competitive yet, but has a top jockey trainer combo that is five for eight this meet

RACE 7 ON THE TURF

8. Jhirsch (7-2)
Exits from a competitive third at Saratoga, and should be the favorite with a strong chance off the class drop
6. Two by Two (5-1)
Winner of three straight, his late closing kick is tough to ignore on turf with a prolific jockey trainer combo
7. A Western Yarn (8-1)
Good back class and gets back to the right surface and distance coming off the bench
9. Trevesso (10-1)
Winner in stakes company two back; clearly prefers turf and should be a value play

DIRT PICKS: 12-1-11

RACE 8

2. Riccio (3-1)
Won by a whopping nine lengths in stakes company at Laurel last time and wins with a repeat of that
3. Rainy Skies (6-1)
Drops from a stakes race, already with a good record in the money and should be improving now by Arrogate
4. Goodafternoonoscar (8-1)
A threat with an early break, with only one other speed horse in this field

RACE 9 ON THE TURF

12. A Primera Vista (6-1)
Exits from Saratoga and had previously won three straight on turf with a five for six record on grass lifetime
6. Well Into (6-1)
Filly by Into Mischief keeps good class and has thrived when running at this distance
13. Paper Mansion (9-2)
May have more speed than A Primera Vista, and has never finished worse than second on turf in twelve tries
1. Princess Javoncia (10-1)
Has run respectably in two recent stakes tries, winning both turf routes in optional claiming company this summer

DIRT PICKS: 2-12-10

RACE 10

6. Marion Grace (5-2)
Back down to optional claiming where she has run her best especially at six furlongs
5. Utterly Enchanting (3-1)
A tad over-matched in a stakes at Timonium; another with top efforts at six furlongs compared to this group
1. Me Darlin Kathleen (6-1)
Four straight place finishes, but starts off the claim for Bruce Kravets and should be near the early lead
7. Tweet Away Robin (8-1)
Stepping up in class which leaves her at a number, but in her top form and has a near fifty percent clip in the money

RACE 11

7. Khoolzan (2-1)
Clearly the best of those with experience, and should win with a good effort
8. Head of the Class (7-2)
May have been more impressive than Khoolzan last time in defeat, and could have the lead
4. Mr Liam and Alan (10-1)
Obtained a solid speed figure in his debut, but steps up in class and needs to improve
1. Good as He Gets (7-2)
Debuts with frequent works and a sharp jockey trainer combo that puts him above the others
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