Picks and analysis for this afternoon’s card from Delaware Park:

• DATE: September 12, 2024, 12:30 p.m. first post
• RACES ON CARD: 8
• CARRYOVERS: None
• POST TIME: 12:30 p.m.

RACE 1

11. Quick Recovery (6-1)	Adds lasix first time and should improve after running against better down at Gulfstream
4. Fia First (4-1)	Has been competitive recently over this track, coming up short last time in a race that compares well to this group
9. Big Bolt (9-2)	Doesn’t seem to want to win; still has a good record in the money on dirt especially here
2. Golden Boss Lady (10-1)	Certainly needs to improve to be close, but showed a clear step forward last time in her only competitive effort

RACE 2

3. Cooler King (2-1)	Arkansas bred has a tactical advantage on this field with a top try, and simply didn’t break sharply last race
6. Super Constitution (8-5)	May be overvalued here at his morning line odds, failing to win against similar class two back and has a troubling win rate
1. Grand Rozzo (8-1)	Vino Rosso gelding may want more distance, but has shown improvement with two straight wins at sprints

RACE 3

6. Latin Nikkita (2-1)	Finally switching back to dirt; could be overbet but this mare was running against better this year
2. Del Rey Dolly (4-1)	The most competitive runner here with a win in over a third of her tries lifetime on dirt, but stretches in distance
3. Six the Hard Way (3-1)	Drops from a low level allowance at Timonium, and fared well against this class here in July

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RACE 4 – ON THE TURF

5. Gotanothathingcomn (2-1)	Brittany Russell saddles this filly and has a 24% win clip this meet; first timer here worked well in August
6. Feel the Bolt (12-1)	Enters her fourth start, and of those who have experience, her speed figures are the best
2. Zenith (3-1)	Lone mount for Pennington who rides for John Servis; sired by Munnings who has emerged as a top 15 North American sire by Progeny earnings this year
7. Mona L (8-1)	Grey filly bred in Pennsylvania has value in her debut with frequent works

DIRT PICKS: 5-6-1

RACE 5

2. Gentle Breeze (5-2)	Showed more last year, but improved some off the class drop last time and has a combo that has won five of eight this meet
6. Tiz Lord (9-5)	May just be in better form than Gentle Breeze; late finishing type could use some pace from Gambe Forte
1. Our Ethan Charles (12-1)	Only win was in a maiden claimer, but still has a strong record in the money at a good price

RACE 6 – ON THE TURF

9. Mr. Redolfo (10-1)	Has shown a preference for more distance, but his turf performances can’t be ignored at this price
4. Great Kisser (7-2)	Lone win came on turf with Torres, and has a clear advantage over the rest if he breaks first
10. Perfect Edge (10-1)	Switches surfaces for the first time, and will be in the mix if his top form translates
8. Twist ‘n Twirl (8-1)	Respectable finishes against better competition; was stronger last year but cuts back in distance

DIRT PICKS: 10-9-4

RACE 7

4. Blaze On (3-1)	Four wins in six starts; has the best form at this distance on a dry surface
2. Golden Tabby (3-2)	Was working well this summer and may be the best here, but needs a sharper break this time around
1. Ribbonsinherhair (8-1)	Better value than Touisset who has more speed; could get the set up to hit the board at a price

RACE 8

2. Dubai Fire (7-2)	Back to dirt and should have a speed advantage on the rest which gives him a leg up
3. Look Sharp (9-5)	Hasn’t won enough to warrant this short a number, but still has the best speed figures of the bunch
4. Clever Tiger (5-2)	Unlikely winner but should be mid pack with a chance to nab show

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